Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 177.991767 194.702013 211.761515 230.450605 250.319176 270.781466 293.418184
2024-12-22 151.049695 176.085754 202.798386 233.295057 267.019905 303.049042 344.322749
2024-12-29 133.229939 164.705874 199.662481 241.048899 288.389611 340.537764 402.003181
2025-01-05 117.758244 153.898330 195.561638 246.543232 306.631452 374.600766 456.675508
2025-01-12 102.058284 140.897632 187.327273 245.946674 316.980967 399.292515 500.856423
2025-01-19 89.095278 129.685151 179.910919 245.192495 326.322036 422.378000 543.174613
2025-01-26 82.185235 125.271938 180.192381 253.342933 346.167910 458.013741 600.829426
2025-02-02 75.673744 120.611206 179.538085 259.845972 363.734546 490.924703 655.580321
2025-02-09 70.315109 116.898879 179.623708 266.925578 381.844973 524.559760 711.570924
2025-02-16 65.351422 113.202669 179.297693 273.141564 398.697393 556.687481 766.029711
2025-02-23 56.498274 102.981385 169.221980 265.553112 396.944431 564.846972 790.212405
2025-03-02 49.994857 95.619093 162.553806 262.049928 400.133814 579.026871 821.890073
2025-03-09 45.518380 91.097368 159.799461 263.988813 410.867604 603.499694 867.659476
2025-03-16 41.841214 87.512992 158.166217 267.360668 423.559317 630.744837 917.494170
2025-03-23 39.801722 86.453037 160.226949 276.059329 443.762780 668.277874 981.350528
2025-03-30 37.342603 84.423271 160.611920 282.203865 460.430145 701.285682 1039.694298
2025-04-06 33.660773 79.844519 156.652014 281.590292 467.348016 721.097793 1080.704822
2025-04-13 30.317354 75.509295 152.752932 280.783276 473.796746 740.211464 1120.895221
2025-04-20 29.120256 75.102454 155.231615 289.794887 494.607860 779.328112 1188.461861
2025-04-27 27.683450 74.073793 156.563713 296.976679 512.797815 815.001710 1251.738512
2025-05-04 26.465395 73.346632 158.315497 304.785699 531.970415 852.215201 1317.446868
2025-05-11 25.176026 72.336832 159.486880 311.636317 549.777285 887.694969 1381.139205
2025-05-18 21.723995 66.338550 151.489691 303.277829 544.373498 890.152302 1399.267685